Wisconsin Fire Indices

NFDRS Indices Interpretation

The following is a brief explanation of the National Fire Danger Rating (NFDRS) indices as used by Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources (Table 1). The Wisconsin DNR uses the 1978 version of NFDRS. For more details, please refer to the materials in the references.

Table 1: NFDRS for Antigo, WI on March 9, 2006

US Weather Indices table

RH(%): Relative Humidity in percent

IC: The Ignition Component (IC) is an index within the National Fire Danger Rating System. IC relates the probability that a fire that requires suppression action will result if a firebrand is introduced into a fine fuel complex. Theoretically, on a day when the ignition component registers a 60, approximately 60% of all fire brands that come into contact with wildland fuels will require suppression action.

SC: Spread Component (SC) is the forward rate of spread at the head of the fire in feet per minute. Since 1 chain=66 feet and there are 60 minutes in an hour, so 1 feet per minute is 0.9 chain per hour. Thus, multiply the value of SC by 0.9 gives the spread rate in chain per hour.

ERC: Energy Release Component (ERC) is a calculated field which provides a relative index of the amount of heat (Btu) per unit area (ft²) within the flaming front at the head of a fire. The ERC is derived from predictions of the rate of heat release per unit area during flaming combustion and the duration of the flaming which are a function of the fuel model, the live fuel moistures and the 1000-hour timelag fuel moisture. The ERC is very sensitive to the fuel model characteristics - loading, compaction, particle size, heat of combustion and mineral content. The condition of the larger fuels has a greater influence on the component than the finer fuels. The scale for ERC values is open ended.

Table 2: Characteristics of NFDRS

Characteristics of NFDRS Components
 ICSCERC
Fuel Model SensitivityModerateHighHigh
MemoryLowLowMod/High
VariabilityHighHighLow
PredictabilityLowLowHigh
Fire Season IndicatorLowLowHigh
DriverSC, 1 hr FMWind, 1hr FM, Live FM1, 10, 100, 1000 hr FM, Live FM

BI: Dividing Burning Index (BI) by 10 gives a reasonable estimate of flame length in feet at the head of a fire. Burning Index is fuel model dependent. In Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, this is the basis for the Smokey adjective and staffing. Byram (1959) developed an equation to relate flame length and fireline intensity, FL=0.45(I)0.46 where FL is flame length in feet and I is fireline intensity in BTU per second per feet. Table 3 (Deeming, 1977) can be used as a guide to relate Burning Index and fire behavior.

Table 3: Fire behavior, Controllability and Fireline Intensity Table

Burning IndexFireline Intensity
(BTU/s/ft)
Flame Length
(ft)
Narrative
0-280-502.8Most prescribed burns are conducted in this range
381003.8Generally represents the limit of control for manual attack methods
785007.8The prospects for direct control by any means are poor above this intensity
927009.2The heat load on people within 30 ft of the fire is dangerous
108100010.8Above this intensity, spotting, fire whirls, and crowning should be expected

Adjective Rating: Adjective rating describes the potential for wildland fires. Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources uses Table 4 as the determination percentile for all the danger rating. Since BI is fuel model dependent, different BI break points are derived.

Table 4: Class Day break points for Burning Index

ClassDescriptionBI PercentilesFuel Model QFuel Model GFuel Model EFuel Model R
5Extreme97th90+51+49+22+
4Very High90th to 96th79-8944-5042-4818-21
3High61st to 89th40-7822-4322-419-17
2Moderate21st to 60th22-3911-2112-215-8
1Low0th to 20th0-210-100-110-4

Wind (mph): 10-minute averaged wind speed in mile per hour measured at 20 feet and wind direction on an 8-point compass, i.e. N, NE, E, SE, S, SW, W, NW and calm.

Mx_Wind(mph): Wind gust in mile per hour measured at 20 feet and wind direction on an 8-point compass, i.e. N, NE, E, SE, S, SW, W, NW and calm. Mx_Wind has to be at least as strong as Wind and they should be in the same direction.

Rn24(inch): Rainfall amount in the last 24 hours in inches.

Dur(Hr): Duration of rainfall in hours if there is any.

SOW: State of weather

Table 5: Code for State of weather

CodeDescription
0Clear, less than 1/10 cloud cover
1Scattered clouds, 1/10-5/10 cloud cover
2Broken clouds, 6/10-9/10 cloud cover
3Overcast, 10/10 cloud cover
4Fog
5Drizzle
6Rain
7Snow or Sleet
8Showers
9Thunderstorms

Temp(°F): Temperature in Fahrenheit

Td(°F): Dew point temperature in Fahrenheit

Tmax(°F): Maximum temperature in the last 24 hours in Fahrenheit

Tmin(°F): Minimum temperature in the last 24 hours in Fahrenheit

RHMax(%): Maximum relative humidity in the last 24 hours in percent

RHMin(%): Minimum relative humidity in the last 24 hours in percent

Vegetation Stage: Vegetation stage expresses the actual greening and curing of live herbaceous vegetation. There are 5 vegetation stage: Cured, Frozen, Green, Pre-Green, Transition.

In Wisconsin Department of Natural Resources, we change vegetation factors manually by the time of the year and fuel conditions. Usually in early spring, pre-green is signaled. In late spring, middle May, greenup factor is initiated and the march to 21 day green up is started. Early fall Cured is signaled when the growing processes have stopped. Frozen is signaled when the temperature criteria is met.

1-Hour/10-Hour/100-Hour/1000-Hour: Dead fuel moisture content in fuel that takes 1 hour/10 hours/100 hour/1000 hour to lose or gain 63% of the difference between the dead fuel itself and the surrounding atmosphere. Fuel moisture percent is computed by dividing the weight of "water" in the fuel by the oven-dried weight of the fuel and then, multiplying by 100 to get to percent.

X1000: Predictor value for 1000-Hour . This is used within NFDRS.

Herbaceous: Fuel moisture in live herbaceous vegetation. Please refer to "1-Hour" on fuel moisture computation. This value is calculated in our system.

Woody: Fuel moisture in live woody vegetation. Please refer to "1-Hour" on fuel moisture computation. This value is calculated in our system.

References:

Weather Information Management System (WIMS) user's manual
Remsoft FireWeatherPro user's manual
Bradshaw, Larry S.; Deeming, John E.;Burgan, Robert E.;Cohen, Jack D., compilers. The 1978 National Fire-Danger Rating System; technical documentation. General Technical Report INT-169. Ogden, UT: US Department of Agriculture, Forest Service, Intermountain Forest and Range Experiment Station; 1984. 44pp.

Byram, George M. Combustion of forest fuels. In: Forest fire control and use. 2nd ed. New York: McGraw-Hill Book Co.; 1959.175p.

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